How to Bet on NFL
Football
The
NFL has long since supplanted baseball as "America's sport" and for
good reason when considering NFL and College football teams play once
weekly which in the end lends credence to the saying of "absence makes
the heart grow fonder", however, in the big picture one of the
predominate reasons for the popularity of football centers around how
easy it is to understand the mechanics of wagering on football.
Following
are three considerations to ponder when wagering on the NFL that can
help you consistently beat the books:
1)
Do not over analyze last week's performance in terms of a good outing
or a bad outing by any individual team, instead look at how that team
has performed over the previous four or five weeks. Keep in mind that
college football differs from professional football in the maturity
level of the players involved, meaning that much more value must be
assigned to the home team in a college football game than to a
professional team playing at home.
2)
Shop around for the best betting line available to you, this is
especially important in games in which "key numbers" come into play.
Key numbers are called as such because the final margin of victory
often lands on these numbers, for example 3, 7, 10, 13, and 14 are the
most common margin of victory numbers in both college and professional
football. The reason why has to do with the way a team scores, 3 is a
field goal, 7 is a touchdown with a kicked point after and so forth.
Keep in mind that there is big difference in betting on or against a
team taking or laying 2 ½ points versus taking or laying 3 or 3
½ points and so on.
3)
Injuries are one of the most over-rated statistics in both the NFL and
college football game, the exception to this is if the injury is to the
starting quarterback or if the current injury is part of a "cluster
injury", a cluster injury means that a team is now short two or more
starting offensive or defensive linemen or is now short two or more
offensive or defensive backs. Generally speaking, the betting public
over reacts to news of an injury and quite often this over reaction
causes a line move that is totally unjustified in terms of the
importance of the injury versus the adjustment to the posted point
spread, this creates at times a lot of "value", look to exploit the
line by taking the side with the injury.